In a single state or an area in a single state, such as senators orĮlections feature candidates who must campaign in multiple statesĪnd thus appeal to a more national audience. Midterm campaigns feature candidates who only campaign Such as the one that took place in 2020 and will take place in 2024. It's important to consider the differencesīetween midterm elections, such as the one that took place in 2022, and presidential elections, May favor either party in any given election. These swing states are politically volatile and States swung from one political party to the other between the 20 elections. You've created a map that highlights which Add election dataįirst, you'll add data for the presidential election in November 2020 and the midterm elections in November 2022 for the entire United States. In this tutorial, you'll conduct a visual analysis of potential swing states by reviewing a map of election results from the 2020 presidential and 2022 midterm elections and identify states that swung from one party to the other. These states, which can be decided by a change in relatively few votes, are called swing states.īecause demographics and voting patterns change over time, the states that are considered swing states are not the same in every election. To increase the odds of winning the election, their campaigns prioritize investing resources into states that could be reasonably won by either major political party instead of investing in states that historically favor one party over the other. Because of these costs, candidates cannot campaign everywhere. And it was half the size of the most recent Republican wave in 2010 when districts shifted more than 19 points to the right.In the United States, presidential campaigns require significant amounts of money, time, and people. So how big was the blue wave? Over all, 2018’s shift to the left was smaller than the one in 2006, the last time the Democrats flipped the House. The average district nationwide moved 10 percentage points to the left this year.Įach line represents a House district and shows how much more Democratic or Republican the district voted compared with 2016, colored by the party that won the seat.ĭistricts where Republicans won, shown here, were caught in the wave as well - 174 of them moved to the left. The districts that flipped to Democrats had an average shift of 21 percentage points.Įach arrow represents a House district that flipped from Republican to Democratic and how much more Democratic it voted compared with 2016.īut the swing districts don’t tell the whole story - they represent the crest of the wave. Most of these were in the suburbs, shown as larger dots on this map. Only 42 of those districts actually flipped from Republican to Democratic. … the overwhelming trend on Tuesday was a blue shift: 337 districts swung to the left.Īrrows show House districts that voted more Democratic compared with 2016. While dozens of districts became more red …Īrrows show House districts that voted more Republican compared with 2016. Midterm elections are often a referendum on the president’s party. Analysis is based on results as of 5 p.m. They won 234 seats to Republicans’ 198.Įach dot on the map represents a house district, colored by the winning party. Democrats made sizable gains in Tuesday’s elections for the U.S.
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